Care Ratings on 2nd July updated India’s GDP growth prediction for the current financial year to (-) 6.4 percent as economic activity continues to be under restraint because of the lockdown on account of the COVID-19 pandemic. The rating agency, in May, had predicted a decline in GDP growth of 1.5-1.6 percent in FY21.
Fitch Ratings on 29th June slashed India’s growth forecast for 2021-22 fiscal to 8 percent from 9.5 percent predicted last month. It, however, preserved its prediction of Indian economy contracting by (-5) percent in the current fiscal (FY2020-21).
National Council of Applied Economic Research (NCAER) announced the Indian economy could be developing at 1.3% in FY21 as a base case scenario. This prediction is based on the incorporation of the monetary and fiscal stimulus measures undertaken by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) and the central government.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) sharply cut India’s growth outlook for the present fiscal year (2020-21) to a minus (-) 4.5 percent from 1.9 expansion expected in April owing to an extended COVID-19 lockdown and hindered economic revival.
Moody’s Investor Service further lowered its growth forecast for India to -3.1% this calendar year correlated to 0.2% in April.
The June 2020 update of its Global Macro Outlook, published on 22nd June, expected a marginally greater rebound at 6.9% in 2021, as opposed to 6.2% in the April update.
The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) declared India’s growth at -3.7% for the ongoing fiscal with a rider that growth could decline further to -7.3% in the event of a second COVID-19 outbreak, according to its Economic Outlook (EO) published on 10th June.
Fitch Ratings has oozed confidence that the Indian economy will spring back from the prevailing contraction and slowdown mainly on the back of the COVID-19 pandemic and projected India’s GDP to rise at a healthy rate in the next fiscal year.
The credit rating agency has predicted India’s GDP to increase at 9.5 percent in FY 2021-22 after a contraction of 5% (means -5%) fiscal year 2020-21.
The World Bank assumes India’s economy to contract 3.2% in the current fiscal year (2020-21), a sharp downgrade from its April projection of 1.5%-2.8% growth, citing rigorous lockdown and spillovers from weaker global growth.
A survey published by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has revealed that the Indian economy may decrease by 1.5 percent in FY21 though the next fiscal is expected to be much better.
Fitch and S&P Global Ratings has cut India’s GDP growth rate to 5% in the Fiscal Year 2021. The decline in the growth rates has been made due to a slump in the economic activities in the whole country between lockdown imposed to contain COVID-19 pandemic.