S&P Global Ratings (earlier Standard & Poor’s) has boosted India’s GDP growth prediction for the FY21 (2020-21) to – 7.7 percent from – 9 percent predicted earlier.
The lower contraction rate is based on rising demand and falling COVID infection rates.
Rating agency CRISIL has lessened the contraction rate of India’s GDP and now expects the growth rate of the Indian economy to decline 7.7% in the ongoing fiscal 2020-21, compared to the 9% forecast in September 2020, due to “faster-than-expected” recovery in the second quarter.
The Asian Development Bank (ADB) has predicted India’s economy to contract 8 percent in 2020, as against (-)9.0 percent previously forecast.
In its latest Asian Development Outlook report published on 10 December 2020, ADB also expects the GDP of India to bounce back with growth of 8.0 percent in 2021.
Fitch Ratings has updated the GDP growth rate for India in its Global Economic Outlook, and now expects the economy to contract 9.4 percent in the current financial year 2020-21, as compared to (-)10.5 percent forecast earlier.
The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) has marginally raised its GDP prediction for India to a contraction of 9.9% in 2020-21 (FY21) from its earlier projection of (-)10.2% in September 2020.
The UBS has projected India’s real GDP to decline 10.5% in FY21, in its Global Economics & Markets Outlook 2021-2022 report.
For the fiscal 2021-22 (FY22) UBS assumes India’s real GDP growth to rebound to +10% in FY22. UBS also estimates India’s GDP to stabilize at 6.2 percent YoY in FY23.
The National Statistical Office (NSO) has published the estimates of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the second quarter (July-September) Q2 of 2020-21.
The GDP at Constant (2011-12) Prices in Q2 of 2020-21 is approximated at Rs 33.14 lakh crore, as against Rs 35.84 lakh crore in Q2 of 2019-20, showing a contraction of 7.5% as compared to 4.4% growth in Q2 2019-20.
The Investment bank, Goldman Sachs has updated upwards the growth forecast for India in FY21 to -10.3% from its earlier projection of -14.8% in September 2020.